By Usman Sulyman
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded Nigeria’s 2020 growth projection, saying the economy will shrink by 5.4 per cent.
The IMF had in April 2020 projected that the country’s economy would contract by 3.4 per cent this year.
The IMF claimed this in its overview of the World Economic Outlook for June, titled. ‘A crisis like no other, an uncertain recovery’, which was released on Wednesday.
It stated that, “Global growth is projected at –4.9 per cent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the April 2020 World Economic Outlook forecast.
“The COVID-19 pandemic has had a more negative impact on activities in the first half of 2020 than anticipated, and the recovery is projected to be more gradual than previously forecast.”
The report said for the first time, all regions were projected to experience negative growth in 2020.
It said there were, however, substantial differences across individual economies, reflecting the evolution of the pandemic and the effectiveness of containment strategies; variation in economic structure; reliance on external financial flows, including remittances; and pre-crisis growth trends.
Part of the report read, “In China where the recovery from the sharp contraction in the first quarter is underway, growth is projected at 1.0 per cent in 2020, supported in part by policy stimulus.
“India’s economy is projected to contract by 4.5 per cent following a longer period of lockdown and slower recovery than anticipated in April.”
According to the report, in Latin America where most countries are still struggling to contain infections, the two largest economies, Brazil and Mexico, are projected to contract by 9.1 and 10.5 per cent, respectively in 2020.